Interos

When Borders Collide: The India-Pakistan Conflict and Its Global Trade Fallout

Posted on May 16, 2025May 16, 2025 by interos.ai

The long-standing tension between India and Pakistan has taken a critical turn as military actions and retaliatory strikes escalate in the disputed region of Kashmir. This conflict has reached levels not seen between these two countries for decades.

In this analysis, we examine not only the volatile timeline of recent events but also deep dive into the economic stakes – how a breakdown in the current truce could disrupt trade in Kashmir, India, and Pakistan.

Escalating Military Tensions and a Fragile Truce

In early April, a deadly militant attack in Pahalgam, Indian-administered Kashmir, claimed the lives of 26 Hindu tourists. The incident immediately set off alarms in an already tense region and led to a sharp escalation between the two nuclear-armed neighbors. On May 3, Pakistan test-fired missiles, pausing direct trade between India and Pakistan in a climate of heightened alert.

Matters intensified when, on May 7, India launched missile strikes against targets in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Kashmir, declaring that the strikes were aimed at “terrorist infrastructure.” The death toll rose rapidly with Pakistan reporting 31 fatalities as part of India’s retaliation. In these conditions, airspace closures and cross-border missile and drone deployments further underscored the narrow line between a controlled engagement and a full-blown conflict.

A cautious sense of relief emerged on May 10 when a truce was declared, brokered by the US Government and the Trump Administration, followed by the first night without any firing incidents on May 12.

However, the underlying tensions remain, and with every pause in violence comes a stark warning: if the fragile truce breaks, the economic and human consequences could be immense.

Kashmir: A Disputed Area Under Siege

Kashmir isn’t just a geopolitical flashpoint – it’s also a burgeoning economic hub with a rich artisan background. According to interos.ai, companies in Kashmir have been involved in over 71,227 shipments since January 1, 2024, with 3,786 companies from around the world purchasing goods from the region.

While companies across a wide footprint of industries stand to be impacted by this conflict, interos.ai data highlights that the industries most impacted by a disruption in exports from Kashmir encompass consumer goods and retail.

Industry Concentration of Companies (Global) Buying from Kashmir Companies:

Consumer Goods: 4.9% of the overall trade profile
Apparel Retailers: 4.1%
Supermarkets, Department Stores, and Other Retailers: 3.7%
Retail, NOS: 3.6%

Kashmir is famous for handicrafts such as Pashmina shawls and silk. It’s also the sole producer of saffron in the Indian subcontinent – a spice with a storied history and significant market demand.

The region’s exports are not merely numbers; they represent livelihoods, cultural heritage, and economic stability for an entire community. Disruption to these trade channels, especially in consumer goods and artisanal products, would have far-reaching consequences for both local economies and global supply chains, notably due to the knock-on disruptions to normal operations in India, one of the largest exporting economies in the world.

Country-Level Trade: India’s and Pakistan’s Global Exports

India’s Export Landscape

interos.ai’s knowledge graph contains data on over 5.5 million companies in India, which supply over 540,000 companies globally. Since 2024, these companies have accounted for over 37.6 million shipments.  

interos.ai data highlights the companies most impacted by a disruption in exports from India encompass a wide swath of industries including consumer goods, software, engineering, and manufacturing companies.

Industry Concentration of Companies (Global) Buying from Indian Companies:

Consumer Goods: 4.6%
Business Management and Legal Services: 4.4%
Software and IT Services: 3.9%
Architectural, Engineering, and Design Services: 3.7%
Industrial Equipment Manufacturing and Sales: 3.1%

Most companies that purchase goods from India are located in the United States, making up over 24% of the companies supplied by Indian companies.  Meaning, the United States could feel this disruption keenly if conflict escalates.

Textiles remain a cornerstone of India’s exports – apparel, bedding, linens, and textile furnishings account for over 21% of shipments since 2024. Parts and components that are important for manufacturing finishes goods – rubber parts, plastic parts, and vehicle parts – make up another 10% of India’s shipments since 2024. 

Pakistan’s Export Dynamics

interos.ai’s data shows a robust, albeit smaller, network involving more than 210,000 companies supplying over 46,000 global businesses, with over 1.9 million shipments since 2024. These global businesses also span a wide range of industries – with apparel producers representing the largest share.

Industry Concentration of Companies (Global) Buying from Pakistani Companies:

Apparel Retailers: 7.0%
Consumer Goods: 5.8%
Business Management and Legal Services: 5.4%
Textile Manufacturing: 3.5%

Textile exports dominate Pakistan’s trade profile, with over 70% of shipments comprising apparel, bedding, linens, and other textiles. Most companies that purchase goods from Pakistan are in the United States and the United Kingdom, making up over 22% and 6% of the companies supplied by Pakistani companies, respectively.

What’s at Stake: Breaking the Truce and Regional Implications

The critical question remains: What if the current truce unravels?

Humanitarian and Security Risks: Every escalation brings with it the tragic potential loss of life – not only among combatants but also innocent civilians. The region’s volatile nature coupled with two nuclear armed countries on both sides means that even limited conflict could spiral rapidly out of control.
Economic Disruptions: Shipping ports have halted as both countries banned imports and access to maritime ports. While the direct impact to trade between the two countries is minimal (less than 1% of India’s total trade volume), a single disruption can cascade downstream through entangled supply chains, escalating in impact. We’ve also already seen Pakistan’s stock exchange halted for an hour, as market rebounds from ceasefire announcements triggered regulatory circuit breakers. Markets remain subject to ongoing geopolitical volatility in the region.
Global Supply Chain Vulnerabilities: Modern commerce depends on interlinked supply chains. The interruption in goods from regions like Kashmir and India would reverberate across borders – especially affecting countries like the United States, United Kingdom, and emerging tech sectors seeking to leverage ‘Made in India’ initiatives.

Looking Forward: Navigating Uncertainty in a World on Edge

The unfolding events highlight the complexities at the intersection of geopolitical tension and global trade. While a brief pause in hostilities offers hope for de-escalation, the underlying economic stakes amplify the urgency of a lasting political solution. As decision-makers in both nations weigh security considerations against economic necessities, the world watches – with trade routes, industries, and communities awaiting the next move.

Ultimately, peace isn’t merely the absence of conflict; it’s a prerequisite for economic stability, cultural preservation, and the sustainable development of entire regions. Maintaining a stable environment is essential for ensuring that regions like Kashmir continue to thrive as both cultural treasures and vital trade hubs.

Geopolitical instability has the potential to send cascading tremors through our global, interconnected supply chains.

In a climate of tit-for-tat trade wars with tariffs wreaking havoc on supply chains, managing geopolitical risk is table stakes.

Get in touch to assess where your supply chains leave your organization exposed to geopolitical risk.

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2025 Tariffs Report: Insights to Navigate Trade Wars & Supply Chain Shocks

Posted on May 8, 2025May 8, 2025 by Lexi Sydow

Global supply chains continue to face growing uncertainty and disruption. As President Trump took office in January, Mexico, Canada and China came under immediate scrutiny as the United States top trade partners.

The US-China trade war escalated with a series of tit-for-tat export controls, tariffs, and commercial agreement realignments threatening an accelerated bifurcation of global supply chains.

As this economic warfare continues to escalate – with each side exerting their market powers – companies of all sizes that ignore these market pressures may become collateral damage.

After a series of on-again off-again tariffs and macroeconomic aftershocks, global trade hangs in the balance.

What’s caught in the cross-fire? Supply chains.

How do companies seek stability amid an escalating global trade war?

How do they minimize risk of $100 million disruptions?

Read our Tariffs Report Today for Insights into:

Trump’s Tariffs Timeline
Market chaos in 2025 – which countries are facing 32x increases in tariff rates
Magnitude of disruption to critical products like semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, lumber, automobiles and steel and aluminum
Financial fallout and market volatility from “Liberation Day” tariffs
The plight of empty shelves – which markets are already seeing double-digit drop-off in shipments of holiday goods to the US
What actions you can take today to avoid tariff’s wreaking havoc on your supply chains

Download Report

interos.ai Chosen for $919 Million GSA’s SCRIPTS Contract to Deliver AI-Powered Supply Chain Risk Management

Posted on April 24, 2025May 8, 2025 by interos.ai

Today, interos.ai’s supply chain risk intelligence platform is now available through Carahsoft Technology Corp. on the U.S. General Services Administration’s (GSA) Supply Chain Risk Illumination Professional Tools and Services (SCRIPTS) Blanket Purchase Agreement (BPA). This 10-year, $919 million contract vehicle is designed to equip U.S. government agencies, including the Department of Defense (DoD) and Federal Civilian Executive Branch (FCEB) with advanced tools to identify, monitor and mitigate supply chain risks in real-time.

Delivering Mission-Ready Risk Intelligence

“Being selected for GSA’s SCRIPTS BPA is a major milestone that expands our ability to support Federal agencies in today’s volatile risk environment,” said Chris Lee, Chief Revenue Officer at interos.ai. “Global supply chains facing on-going shocks, mean agencies need faster, smarter tools with real-time visibility to stay ahead of emerging disruptions. This agreement gives agencies access to AI-powered insights that strengthens operational continuity and powers forward-looking threat mitigation.”

With interos.ai, agencies can uncover hidden risks across complex, multi-tier supply chains, gaining the foresight to act before disruptions escalate. We are providing agencies with a unified, AI-driven capability to gain real-time visibility and actionable intelligence across their supplier ecosystems to safeguard military readiness and protect critical infrastructure.

A Strategic Partnership to Meet Evolving Threats

Brian O’Donnell, Vice President for Supply Chain Solutions at Carahsoft, added, “With interos.ai’s innovative platform, government agencies are better equipped to proactively manage risks, whether from cyber vulnerabilities, geopolitical shifts or hidden threats deep within global supply chains. Through the SCRIPTS BPA, Carahsoft and our reseller partners are committed to delivering the technology that supports national security and operational readiness over the next decade.”

Running through March 2035, the SCRIPTS BPA simplifies procurement, making it easier for agencies to adopt next-generation solutions that address supplier risk, cybersecurity challenges and external disruptions, all in one platform.

This announcement reflects a broader movement: federal agencies are signaling that real-time, AI-driven risk management is no longer optional, it’s essential. As they adapt to an increasingly complex threat landscape, interos.ai is proud to stand at the forefront of this shift, helping government teams move from reactive responses to proactive resilience.

Learn more about interos.ai’s offerings through Carahsoft and the SCRIPTS BPA here .

Thousands of Companies Exposed to High Financial Risk Following President Trump’s Tariffs

Posted on April 11, 2025April 11, 2025 by interos.ai

Authors: Kate Anderson, PhD, Senior Manager, Network Science and Teddy DeWitt, PhD, Lead Computational Social Scientist

Markets across the globe crashed in response to last week’s tariffs, erasing more than $10 trillion and causing drops not seen since the beginning of COVID. The turmoil continued on Wednesday, with a series of retaliatory tariff announcements.

While the White House did announce a 90-day delay in country-specific tariffs, with a corresponding market rebound, these swings in the market are disruptive and reflect broader concerns around an uncertain economy.

However, the impact is not uniform. Some companies are seeing larger swings than others, indicative of additional financial risk. Thanks to interos.ai’s anomalous returns predictive model, we can leverage market data to identify which companies and industries have a greater likelihood of enhanced financial risk in this era of uncertainty and trade barriers.

A Tumultuous Financial Market: Tariffs and Trade War

Last week’s reciprocal tariffs executive order introduced a 10% tariff on all US imports, with steeper rates for dozens of countries, including some of the US’s biggest trade partners.

While the worldwide 10% tariff went into effect on Saturday, April 5th, this was then paused and for the next 90 days as of April 9th. The tariff rate on China went into effect on April 9th.

The other promised country-specific tariffs are scheduled to start after a 90-day period. These additional tariffs – impacting 86 countries – disproportionately affect some major US trading partners, including China, India, Vietnam, and Taiwan, with projected severe effects on supply chains and global markets.

The 10% world-wide tariff and “reciprocal tariffs” on other countries add to those already levied by President Trump earlier this year, including an additional 10% duty on imports from China, a 25% tariff on imported cars, 25% on steel, between 10-25% on aluminum, and import tariffs on a variety of Canadian and Mexican goods.

The new batch of US import tariffs hits several of the country’s largest trading partners, which interos.ai forecasts will have a dramatic effect on supply chains.

The initial announcements raised the tariffs on Chinese imports by 54%, to a total of over 64%, with updated announcements increasing rates to 125%.

Chinese goods represent 16% of US imports, including critical parts and raw materials such as rare earth metals. Other major US trading partners were threatened with similarly large tariffs.

India’s announced tariff rate rose from 2% in 2024 to 26%. The tariff rate in Taiwan—the source of most of the world’s semiconductors—rose from 1% to 32%. While semiconductors are not currently under tariff restrictions, President Trump has implied that they may lose that exemption. Tariffs on Vietnam—a significant exporter of electronics—are going from 4% to a staggering 46%.

These tariffs have triggered retaliatory measures by other countries:

China quickly responded with a 34% tariff on all imports from the US, increased to 84% and again increased to 125%.

Canada announced a 25% retaliatory tariff.

European Union reacted with tariffs on a wide range of goods commonly imported from the US.

These numbers are changing daily, fueling uncertainty and market instability.

Financial Instability: Identifying At-Risk Industries and Companies

The reaction of the markets to the tariff announcement was immediate and dramatic.

On April 3rd, the day the tariffs were announced, the markets experienced a drop of 4-6% — the largest single-day drop since the pandemic.

This kind of drop in market price suggests that investors are anticipating future financial instability.

While the markets rebounded after the 90-day stay announcement on Thursday, investors are still extremely nervous, and markets are likely to experience further big swings in the coming months.

As part of interos.ai’s comprehensive machine learning model for financial risk, the anomalous returns model captures unexpected shifts from expected market behavior.

Markets often reflect the collective knowledge of investors about the financial future of a company. By including daily market returns in our scoring, interos.ai leverages that collective knowledge to predict financial risk, especially important in identifying which companies or industries may be most affected.

interos.ai uses an algorithm to identify anomalies in return data—companies that experience a larger drop than would be expected given current market conditions and historical price volatility. This indicator was inspired by the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) banking crisis, when the stock price of SVB experienced an abnormally large decline months before the actual crisis occurred.

Looking at the overall market certainly highlights the pessimism of the market.

However, it disguises an important factor — losses are not uniformly distributed across different parts of the economy.

While some industries experienced large drops in average returns, others saw no drop at all. The table below shows the interos.ai industries that saw the largest drop in market returns last week. Apparel, Manufacturing, and Retail industries saw the biggest hits, followed by Ship Building, Springs, Furniture Manufacturing, Electronic Components, and Freight and Transportation.

The picture is still more complex than that.

interos.ai’s Financial Model Shows Over 1,000 Companies Exposed to Abnormally High Financial Risk from President Trump’s Tariffs

After all, the entire market crashed on April 3rd, and even healthy companies likely took a hit. In addition, some industries are more volatile than others, meaning that what might be a large drop in market price for a metal manufacturer looks very different from what normal looks like in other industries. Our anomalous returns model identifies companies that saw a disproportionate fall in market returns, relative to declines in the rest of the market and relative to historical volatility.

Context is everything.

And makes the difference between getting in front of risk or being controlled by the risky fallouts. While electronics made headlines for seeing a big drop in returns on April 3rd, the data from the anomalous returns model suggests that the drop was not abnormally large. The electronics market is historically volatile such that we expect returns in that industry to drop with the smallest overall market decline.

In contrast, metal manufacturing and fossil fuel extraction are extremely stable industries. Seeing a large drop in the market returns for companies in those industries is a huge red flag, even if they are smaller in absolute terms than the drops in electronics.

interos.ai identified over a thousand companies globally that exhibited an abnormally large response to the market shifts.

These are companies that not only experienced losses, but unexpected losses—losses that are many times larger than would be expected given the overall market decline and are therefore at much greater financial risk.

Some companies experienced extraordinarily large losses, with the highest of these declines upwards of 50%.

Unsurprisingly, many of the penalized companies come from countries heavily impacted by the new tariffs, including Canada, Japan, and China.

Avoiding the Fallout from High Financial Risk

The uncertainty around the US’s position in the global economy continued this week as some announced tariffs went into effect and others were delayed.

The global response to the announcements were swift, with retaliatory tariffs levied against US imports and stock markets falling.

Jamie Dimon, Chaiman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase commented on the risk climate we have entered in his latest letter to shareholders. “The economy is facing considerable turbulence (including geopolitics), with the potential positives of tax reform and deregulation and the potential negatives of tariffs and “trade wars,” ongoing sticky inflation, high fiscal deficits and still rather high asset prices and volatility.”

During such an unprecedented time, supply chain resilience becomes even more critical. To stay afloat in a tumultuous trade war is to stay abreast of the regulatory shifts and to ensure visibility into your supplier dependencies.

If a critical supplier is buried in your supply chain and is exposed to abnormally high financial risk, you need to know. And you need to know so you can act before disaster strikes. Underlying market information can help surface growing financial risks.

interos.ai will continue tracking those companies and industries exhibiting anomalous returns, providing proactive intelligence for our customers as they weather such dramatic micro-economic fluctuations.

Supply chain disruptions cost financial services organizations $164 million per year on average.

See your total financial supply chain and act fast on insights:

Speak to an Expert

The End of Globalization…Again? Creative Destruction and the Global Order

Posted on April 1, 2025April 1, 2025 by Andrea Little Limbago

Author: Dr. Andrea Little Limbago, SVP, Applied AI

The April 2nd tariffs are the latest culprit blamed for the death of the interdependent economic system that began following World War II.

Much has been written about the immediate impact of these tariffs but there has been much less attention on how these tariffs fit into the broader, macro-trends reshaping the global economy.

The immediate ‘fog of uncertainty’ disrupting financial markets and supply chains is part of a deeper restructuring that is underway, one which is driven by a generational technological revolution, and the resulting geopolitical competition shaping this new order.

How We Got Here

Following World War II, global leaders gathered in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire and created three global institutions to shape the world order: the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (which evolved into the World Trade Organization).

The goal was to create an interdependent economic system to promote post-war recovery and international cooperation. As a result, global trade in 2023 was 134 times greater than in the early 1960s, and has shaped what many call the modern era of globalization.

Since then, there have been persistent rumors of the death of globalization. In the early 1970s, President Richard Nixon ended the Bretton Woods monetary regime and its fixed exchange rate system.

While it ended one system, many believe this ushered in the current era of globalization.

In the late 1980s and early 1990s, the end of the Cold War opened up new markets that were cut off from decades of global trade, leading some to argue this is when globalization truly went global.

At that same time, the rise of preferential trade agreements (PTAs), such as NAFTA and the EU, sparked concern over the demise of free trade. The 2008 financial crisis, 2018 US-China trade war, and 2020 global pandemic additionally instigated claims of the death of globalization. While extremely different circumstances and rationale, at the macro-level, these conversations are mirror those today on the impact of President Trump’s tariffs.

In short, globalization has experienced a series of disruptions, expansions, and restructuring over the decades. What arguably makes this time different is the digital and technological revolution, and the tariffs more so reflecting one of many realpolitik-focused responses to today’s geo-strategic realities.

A New Era of Creative Destruction

In the late 1930s and 1940s, Joseph Schumpeter coined the term ‘creative destruction’ to refer to the evolutionary nature of capitalism, wherein technological advances make obsolete previous products and processes, leading to significant reallocation and labor market disruptions. He experienced real-world examples of technological disruptions, perhaps most notably Ford’s assembly line as well as the military revolution during World Wars I and II.

Earlier this year, the World Economic Forum argued that today’s ongoing technology convergence is paving the way for the Fifth Industrial Revolution. At the same time, the WEF noted that the technological revolution requires a reskilling revolution, with 22% of today’s jobs already changing due to AI and big data, while at least 60% will require upskilling in the coming years.

This is on par with the job destruction detailed by Schumpeter almost a century ago and may even understate the foundational shift underway thanks to great power politics. As Chinese President Xi Jinping noted at the National Science and Technology Awards Conference 2024, “The scientific and technological revolution and the great power game are intertwined.”

Today, the tariff debate is nestled within the broader context of global decoupling along geopolitical fault lines.

Last year, an IMF study highlighted the shift toward ally-shoring or friendshoring – reorienting supply chains toward allied partners. While nearshoring has garnered more attention, they note that trade distances have grown due to a prioritized focus on like-minded, allied countries. A similar study noted a 7% decline in trade between non-allied countries. Together, the forces of creative destruction and geopolitical competition are creating unchartered territory.

For decades, just-in-time, lowest cost, hyperspecialized supply chains drove globalization with minimal thought to geopolitics. Today, geopolitics is playing an outsized role in reshaping the global economy, with recent tariffs simply one of many factors indicative of this transformation. In the United States, the CHIPS Act and Inflation Reduction Act preceded President Trump, and prioritized domestic manufacturing.

In addition, well before President Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’, China initiated the Made in China 2025 policy, aimed at decreasing reliance on foreign goods and manufacturers. Over the last decade, export controls and industrial policy have further promoted trusted technology networks, sparking a supply chain bifurcation of technologies from drones to 5G to AI.

Just like the elevation of tariffs, the DeepSeek moment likely will accelerate this decoupling and spark additional AI-focused export controls or bans aimed to promote national technology champions.

Tariffs & Global Transformation

The global economy continues to evolve, with this current era a significant inflection point driven by creative destruction, and the competition to ‘win’ the digital revolution. The tariffs – regardless of the eventual scale and scope– are a symptom of the ongoing global transformation, at times referred to as glocalization. Governments race to adapt to creative destruction and the wave of uncertainty as new policies, regulations, and realpolitik upend existing processes and norms.

While reciprocal tariffs could be an equalizer, placing US tariffs on par with higher tariffs imposed on US goods, concern grows that they could lead to subsequent beggar-thy-neighbor trade policies that have historically hurt all involved.

Regardless, they are in opposition to global free trade and tightly entangled with geopolitics (on allies and adversaries alike), leading to a range of knock-on effects. For instance, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul recently referenced years of literature on the pacifying effects of free trade on global conflict, noting, “The more we trade…the less we fight.” Significant academic literature has been devoted to the pacifying effects of free trade.

In many ways, tariffs are a symptom of the broader global transformation underway. It is essential to assess their immediate impact, but companies seeking greater resilience must view them in the context of a broader transformation to the global economy.

This transformation is fueled by the technological revolution, and the geopolitical race to establish the governance and institutional structures guiding it.

We are in the beginning phases of creative destruction, one that is upending all forms of market risk and stability, with tariffs the latest disruption, but certainly not the last transforming the international order.

To stay ahead of sanctions, tariffs and trade shocks head to our latest launch:

Introducing Regulatory & Market Risk Insights

Posted on April 1, 2025April 14, 2025 by interos.ai

Author: Mackenzie Clark, Lead Computational Social Scientist

Persistent Market Turbulence and the interos.ai Solution

In February, interos.ai shared insights about the potential impact of the proposed 25% duty on all imports into the United States from Mexico and Canada. While this action was partially delayed in March, the end of the pause is rapidly approaching with an April 2^nd deadline for the enactment of these tariffs to the United States’ top trading partners.

While tariffs against Mexican and Canadian imports were delayed, others were still implemented. An additional 10% duty on imports from China was enacted, bringing the total duties levied against Chinese imports to 20%. China quickly retaliated with import tariffs of their own. Similarly, the US implemented a 25% duty on all steel and aluminum imports from any country, which officially took effect March 12^th. In response, both Canada and the European Union announced new tariffs on key US exports.

Amid the whiplash being induced by an impending trade war, the ongoing drumbeat of export controls provides an additional regulatory risk that is reshaping global supply chains. Sanctions on companies continue to increase year-over-year. Export restrictions, such as those implemented by China that restrict the supply of key minerals to the US, are also a common tool in the arsenal of countries seeking to gain or retain their competitive advantage. Other regulations such as the EU Deforestation Regulation or those related to unethical labor practices—Section 1502 of the Dodd-Frank Act and Uyghur Forced Labor Protection Act—also require organizations to monitor and investigate potential regulatory exposures in their extended supply chain.

These rapid-fire developments in the global market highlight that there is no sign of slowing when it comes to new tariffs and the evolution of the regulatory risk landscape writ large. Now more than ever, organizations require a comprehensive monitoring solution that can rapidly alert them to changes that may impact their direct and extended supply chain.

Today, interos.ai is proud to announce the release of our Regulatory & Market Risk Insights. This solution is designed to surface additional context and key data points that enable proactive, strategic decision-making when navigating an increasingly turbulent, complex global market. Organizations can leverage these insights and identify which suppliers are exposed to tariffs, whether they are exporting high-risk products, or if they are situated in a country or industry with greater regulatory risk posture.

Steel and Aluminum Under Fire

For instance, on March 12^th, US steel and aluminum tariffs went into effect, leaving no country untouched from these across-the-board tariffs. Analysis from interos.ai shows that the 25% import tariff on steel and aluminum goods may have an expansive impact to companies in the United States, with over 400,000 companies purchasing some form of steel or aluminum product. Among these companies, the most exposed industries include Architectural, Engineering, and Design Services, Consumer Goods, Industrial Equipment Manufacturing and Sales, and Building and Civil Engineering Construction. However, it seems that no industry will remain entirely untouched by this action.

Using our Regulatory & Market Risk Insights, organizations can easily identify companies that may be exposed to limited supply or increased costs because of newly announced tariffs:

Reulatory and Market Insights — Using interos.ai’s new Regulatory & Market Risk Insights companies can navigate the daily changes to regulatory policy, including exposure to trade was and tariffs.

Cars and Pharmaceuticals and Semiconductors, Oh My!

In anticipation of additional import tariffs, interos.ai also analyzed what the impact of President Trump’s recently announced tariffs on vehicles and vehicle parts and other proposed tariffs on pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and lumber would look like for companies in the U.S.

Much like the steel and aluminum import duties, the impact of the proposed 25% duty on these products and commodities would be expansive:

Again, by leveraging interos.ai’s Regulatory & Market Risk Insights, organizations can easily identify companies that may be exposed to these proposed tariffs:

Beyond Tariffs

While tariffs and trade wars are a hot topic, companies around the world are still responsible for navigating other aspects of the regulatory landscape.

Over the past several months, interos.ai has highlighted the impact of regulations, sanctions, and industry trends that have the potential to shake up supply chains. This has included coverage and impact analyses of the EU Deforestation Regulation, additions to the UFLPA Entity List, and industry-wide risks related to insecure artificial intelligence technologies.

With the release of our Regulatory & Market Risk Insights, the issues covered by these analyses will all be readily available for organizations to leverage in their risk management processes.

Assessing the Impact to Your Organization

It is unclear how much new trade barriers and regulations—and the resulting changes to costs and supply—will impact companies in the United States and around the world. Amid so much uncertainty in the supply chain, it is challenging to understand what the next best action is for companies and consumers alike.

From higher prices to operational disruptions to economic shocks, interos.ai is closely monitoring the situation and how it is impacting supply chains and the global economy, enabling companies to build resilience during a time of significant supply chain disruptions.

To learn more about Regulatory & Market Risk Insights reach out to an expert here.

interos.ai Celebrates Women in Supply Chain at Inaugural Awards Ceremony in Washington D.C.

Posted on March 26, 2025March 26, 2025 by Lexi Sydow

We are proud to announce the winners of its inaugural Women in Supply Chain Awards. The awards ceremony, held in Washington, D.C., honored the achievements of women driving innovation, leadership and transformation in supply chain, risk management and procurement.

A total of 214 submissions were reviewed and evaluated by a committee of female leaders at interos.ai. Nominees for the awards were evaluated on their business impact and how they have given back or inspired the broader supply chain industry.

“It was a day honoring the achievements of all women in supply chain. These women are securing critical supply chains to keep chaos at bay and our economy careening forward,” says Lexi Sydow, SVP, Marketing & Insights at interos.ai. “A powerful theme that surfaced from the day was leading through kindness — how this is a strength, not a weakness, especially in a high stakes field like supply chain risk management.”

2025 Women in Supply Chain Award Winners

Woman of the Year

The Woman of the Year award recognizes a woman who has demonstrated excellence in leadership, innovation and impact within the supply chain risk management field. The winner will receive one year of interos.ai risk intelligence software to donate to the charity or non-profit of her choice.

This year’s Woman of the Year is Jane Ganina, Senior Director, Global Procurement and Supply Chain Management at Telesat. Jane was honored for her significant contributions in driving supply chain transformation, fostering resilience, and advancing risk management across Telesat Lightspeed, the largest space program in Canada’s history. She is also passionate about mentoring young professionals and facilitating opportunities to take on bigger roles, growing in their career journeys.

Young Leader in Supply Chain

The Young Leader in Supply Chain award honors a woman under the age of 35 who is making a notable mark in the industry through innovation and strategic contributions.

This year’s recipient is Mahnoor Khokhar, Manager of Stores and Inventory Control at Porter Airlines. Recognized for her demonstrated hard work and commitment to aviation supply chain management, she designs and implements efficiency, cost control and sustainability across the organization’s operations all while pursuing an MBA in Aviation. She is an advocate for women in supply chain and aviation, ensuring future leaders have the mentorship and resources to succeed.

interos.ai Lifetime Achievement Award

This year marks the introduction of the interos.ai lifetime achievement award. The award honors a woman who has made profound contributions to securing supply chains and advancing the industry throughout her career. As the inaugural recipient of this award, Jennifer Bisceglie, Founder and Executive Vice Chair of interos.ai, will chair and present this award to future winners.

A highly sought-after global supply chain architect and strategist with over 25 years of industry experience, Jennifer’s influential leadership in supply chain risk management has helped reshape the industry. Prior to founding interos.ai, she led and managed large-scale supply chain operations at prominent software and global distribution companies such as Manhattan Associates, Nine West Shoes (now Jones Apparel), and American Eagle Outfitters. In addition to her work in supply chain risk management, Jennifer is a long-time advocate for women entrepreneurs, working on behalf of organizations including Women Impacting Public Policy (WIPP), where she served as a chairperson from 2010 through 2016. Jennifer was also previously selected as the U.S. delegate to the Women’s 20, an engagement group to the G20 focused on addressing gender inequality.

Honoring the Winners in Times Square

In celebration of the inaugural awards, the winners will be featured in a special video shown in Times Square on Friday, March 28, 2025 in partnership with NASDAQ, honoring the successes and achievements of women in supply chain.

View the full list of finalists here:

2025 Women in Supply Chain Awards

interos.ai Named 2025 Excellence Award Winner for Risk Rating and Risk Intelligence Platform

Posted on March 24, 2025 by Lexi Sydow

The Third Party Risk Association has awarded interos.ai the 2025 Execellence Award Winner for Risk Rating / Risk Intelligence Platform.

This awards recognizes dedication to advancing risk management practices and supporting Third Party Risk Management (TPRM) practitioners in eliminating risk from their digital and physical supply chains.

“interos.ai helped us to rapidly mitigate and outreach to those third parties within hours, not days,” according to one of the Big Four Banks.

Why interos.ai? We help Financial institutions eliminate risk from their supply chains – built on an award-winning AI platform

interos.ai, the world’s leading AI-first supply chain risk intelligence company, safeguards global supply chains by monitoring 230 million+ companies and more than 11 billion supplier-buyer relationships.

Our pioneering discovery and monitoring intelligence spans the lifecycle of supply chain risk, enabling faster and more informed threat mitigation. As the first, and only, automated supplier intelligence platform, we continuously map and monitor extended supply chains at speed and scale using both Applied AI and Contextual and Generative AI.

“We use interos.ai as the first line of defense,” according to our customer at one of the top airline companies in the world. They go on to share, “interos.ai is by far the number one player when you think about AI. They have been an immensely critical partner for us, and I would say it truly enables our third-party risk management program.”

Customers are able to take action on threats before they become disruptions, safeguarding operations and enabling proactive resilience in an unpredictable global landscape.

An alarming 90% of organizations lack awareness of sub-tier supplier disruptions for up to 48 hours, exposing them to significant brand and financial risks.

Our AI-driven software empowers third party risk professionals to proactively respond to external leading indicators. Our research reveals that better prevention and swift response to supply chain disruptions can save organizations an average of $37M annually.

We put innovation first – using cutting-edge technology to eliminate risk from supply chains.

Want to learn more? Speak to an expert today:

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Supply & Demand Chain Executive Names Patrick Van Hull and Mackenzie Clark as “Pros to Know”

Posted on March 20, 2025March 20, 2025 by interos.ai

interos.ai, a global leader in AI-powered supply chain risk intelligence, announced Patrick Van Hull, Principal Supply Chain Risk Analyst and Mackenzie Clark, Lead Computational Social Scientist have been named recipients of the 2025 Pros to Know award by Supply & Demand Chain Executive.

The Pros to Know award honors outstanding executives and supply chain professionals whose accomplishments offer a roadmap for others in the space looking to leverage supply chain for competitive advantages.

Patrick was honored in the “Leaders in Excellence” category, recognizing company leaders who have made outstanding contributions to the supply chain space. Mackenzie won in the “Rising Stars” category, recognizing young or newer professionals whose achievements, hard work and vision have shaped the supply chain network.

Supply Chain Pros to Know “Rising Stars” Award Winner: Mackenzie Clark

Over the past year, Mackenzie has played a key role in advancing interos.ai’s ESG, Restrictions, and Geopolitical risk models, helping customers proactively identify regulatory, ethical, and conflict-related risks in their supply chains. She also led efforts to refine interos.ai’s vast B2B relationship data, analyzing billions of suppliers and corporate hierarchy connections to enhance the company’s knowledge graph and unlock deeper insights. Beyond her work at interos.ai, she attended the Santa Fe Institute’s Complexity Global School, where she gained expertise in network analysis, AI, and data science to better understand complex systems—knowledge that directly strengthens her contributions to interos.ai’s mission of bringing clarity to global supply chain risk.

Supply Chain Pros to Know “Leaders in Excellence” Award Winner: Patrick Van Hull

Patrick played a pivotal role in the launch of interos.ai’s Watchtower™, leading the early adopters’ program and working closely with customers to refine key risk criteria and promote actionable next steps. His expertise has been widely recognized, earning him multiple Thinkers360 thought leadership rankings and positioning him as a key speaker at major industry events, including Supply Chain USA and GFMI’s Third-Party Risk Management Conference. Through his thought leadership, Patrick has provided valuable insights on optimizing supply chain risk management, moderating discussions with top organizations like JPMorgan, Schneider Electric, and BNP Paribas. His contributions continue to help organizations transform risk intelligence into actionable strategies for resilience and growth.

“Many of today’s supply chain pros are more than just leaders within their space; they’re true pioneers of change. This year’s list of winners really pushed the boundaries in all facets; creating, implementing, transforming, innovating, reinventing, and collaborating. They executed on all fronts, over-delivering and over-performing. They are true professionals to know in the supply chain space,” says Marina Mayer, editor-in-chief of Food Logistics and Supply & Demand Chain Executive and co-founder of the Women in Supply Chain Forum.

Congratulations to interos.ai’s own, Patrick and Mackenzie!

Visit https://sdce.me/51zgjx6o to view the full list of winners.

Women in Supply Chain 2025 Awards: Finalists Announcement

Posted on March 8, 2025March 9, 2025 by Lexi Sydow

This International Women’s Day, we are excited to participate the UN’s theme for the year: “For ALL women and girls: Rights. Equality. Empowerment.”

interos.ai’s inaugural Women in Supply Chain Awards honor women in supply chain, risk management and procurement for their achievements leading, innovating and inspiring the industry.

We received over 200 nominations and faced the difficult job of narrowing it down to only 12 finalists from a list of so many talented and impressive women!

Candidates were evaluated on business impact – how their achievements, initiatives and leadership roles helped to improve business metrics, drive down risk or avoid costly incidents – and how they gave back or inspired the broader industry.

The 2025 Finalists for Women in Supply Chain Awards are:

2025 Woman of the Year

Recognizing a woman who has demonstrated excellence in leadership, innovation, and impact within the supply chain risk management sector. The interos.ai 2025 ‘Woman of the Year’ will receive a year of interos.ai risk intelligence for the charity or non-profit of her choosing.

2025 Young Leader in Supply Chain

Honoring a rising star under the age of 35 who is making a major mark in the industry through hard work, innovation, and strategic contributions.

Award winners will be announced at a special award ceremony at the end of this year’s Women’s History Month in Washington, DC on Tuesday, March 25.

interos.ai is proud to highlight the achievements of these inspiring women and to thank all of the nominations!